If Governments end up producing clear and ambitious National Energy & Climate Plans (NECPs) and they improve the permitting arrangements for wind farms and they keep investing in new grid capacity, then Europe’s wind energy capacity would grow by 88 GW to 277 GW by 2023. But that’s a big if.

Alternatively, if the NECPs are unambitious and permitting issues persist, then Europe will install much less new wind power: only 67 GW. Permitting issues are already leading to undersubscribed auctions (notably in Germany) and lower installation rates than expected.

Conversely, if permitting improves significantly and the NECPs are super ambitious, then Europe could install 112 GW over the next 5 years.

So the annual volumes of new wind capacity up to 2023 could be anything between 13 and 22 GW. This uncertainty weighs heavily on the supply chain and could impact the significant cost reductions achieved in recent years.

Under all the scenarios over three-quarters of the new installations will be onshore wind. Spain, Sweden and Norway are currently leading the growth in onshore wind. Germany is installing much less this year than it traditionally has, and its outlook remains uncertain for the rest of the period, not least given recent policy decisions. We expect France to show continued steady growth in onshore wind.

The UK will account for 35% of the growth in offshore wind over the next five years, followed by the Netherlands and Germany.

In the next five years 22 GW of wind energy capacity will reach the end of its normal operational life (20 years). Most of this will get a lifetime extension. Around 2 GW will be repowered. And another 2 GW will be fully decommissioned.  Government policy and regulation is still not as supportive of repowering as it should be. 压铸展-铸造展-2020第二十一届广州国际压铸、铸造及工业炉展览会-中国最受关注的压铸铸造展会-巨浪展览 -The 21st China(Guangzhou) Die-casting, Foundry & Industry Furnace Exhibition -Die-casting exhibition, Die-casting expo,2020 Die-casting exhibition, 2020 Die-casting expo, China Die-casting exhibition, China Die-casting expo, Foundry exhibition, Foundry expo, 2020 Foundry exhibition, 2020 Foundry expo, Industry Furnace exhibition, Industry Furnace expo, 2020 Industry Furnace exhibition, 2020 Industry Furnace expo, China Industry Furnace exhibition, China Industry Furnace expo